Matthew Green warns AI is outpacing crypto standards updates
What happened
On October 9, Simon Willison reported cryptographer Matthew Green's view on the future of public-key cryptography under AI. Green says the speed at which humans replace crypto standards is orders of magnitude slower than the pace of unexpected AI progress, so only early preparation can handle such shocks. His probability estimates: 1% chance of a Minicrypt world where public-key crypto is not viable, and 15% chance of losing functional confidence in current public-key algorithms. These are Green's probability judgments, not a conclusion that public-key crypto has failed.
Written by AI from the coverage · updated 48 minutes ago
Coverage
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- Simon WillisonQuoting Matthew Green
密码学家 Matthew Green 认为，人类替换加密标准的速度与 AI 产出意外进展的速度存在数量级差距，只有提前准备才能应对这类冲击。他给出概率判断：1% 可能身处公钥加密不可行的 Minicrypt 世界，15% 可能功能性失去对现有公钥加密算法的信心。
Heat over time
Not enough continuous observations to draw a trend yet.