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RAND lays out 7 superintelligence strategies for the US; core advice is spend now to keep options open

1 report1 sourceupdated 2 days ago

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Summary

兰德公司发了份长报告,把美国应对超智能的策略分成共存、封锁、加速三大类共七种,结论是眼下最该走“行动自由”路线:先掏钱搞安全工具、监控手段、监管人才和社会抗冲击能力,别把路走窄了。报告列出了五个关键不确定性——危险还有多远、人机共存可不可能、限制发展做不做得到、单家能不能甩开对手、技术封锁灵不灵。Jack Clark 点评说,美国现在的架势看着像纯加速...

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Sep 21
  1. Import AI (Jack Clark)Pick
    RAND lays out 7 superintelligence strategies for the US; core advice is spend now to keep options open

    RAND published a long paper mapping seven US strategies for superintelligence across three families—coexistence, denial, acceleration—and concludes the best near-term move is a “Freedom of Action” approach: spend money now on safety tools, monitoring, regulatory expertise, and societal readiness to preserve options. Five key uncertainties drive the analysis: danger proximity, coexistence feasibility, restraint feasibility, decisive strategic advantage, and suppression feasibility. Jack Clark notes the current US posture looks like pure acceleration—pressing the gas without seatbelts. The issue also covers a study where human cortical organoids were transplanted into newborn mice with depleted brains; these xenocortical mice showed intermediate behavior between normal and brain-damaged mice and could serve as platforms for studying human brain disorders.

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