Stanford study: AI hits entry-level jobs hardest, 19% gap for ages 22–25

AI is hitting entry-level jobs hardest, Stanford study finds

Stanford economists updated their 'Canaries in the Coal Mine' paper using ADP payroll data and the Anthropic Economic Index. Economy-wide effects are muted, but employment for ages 22–25 in high-AI-exposure roles is now 19% below low-exposure roles, up from 13% last year. Since 2022, young-worker employment in the top 40% of AI-impacted jobs fell ~11%, while it grew 10% in the bottom 60%. Older workers show no clear impact so far. The study uses real payroll data, not theoretical projections—this signal is worth taking seriously.

Why it matters: Stanford updated its AI employment tracker with ADP payroll data and Anthropic's Economic Index. The employment gap for 22-25 year olds in AI-exposed roles widened from 13% to 19%. Concrete numbers, authoritative sources, a clear trend — hits all three HKR axes. Not scoring hi...