AI 2040: Plan A — a roadmap to delay superintelligence, enforce transparency, and replace the race with mutually assured compute destruction

AI 2040: Plan A

Six authors, including a former OpenAI staffer, propose an international deal to delay superintelligence until 2040 by mandating total AI R&D transparency and letting dozens of companies catch up globally, then locking in a regime of mutually assured compute destruction. They stress this is a recommendation and scenario stress-test, not a prediction. The post argues that current frontier labs acknowledge the risks of loss of control and power concentration yet race ahead anyway, explicitly naming the CEOs of OpenAI, Anthropic, xAI, and Google DeepMind as possibly viewing themselves as the lesser evil. Supplements cover verification, transparency, security, and economic modeling, but the main body does not spell out the political path to getting nations to sign on.

Why it matters: A superintelligence delay treaty co-authored by an ex-OpenAI staffer, naming top labs and offering concrete policy components. Hits all three HKR axes. Score held below 85 because it's a proposal, not an event, and enforceability is questionable — but the argument is sharp eno...