Steve Yegge: Fable’s shutdown signals frontier AI will be locked down like nukes

Fable模型被美国临时关闭，AI安全管控时代来临

Steve Yegge argues Fable’s brief USG shutdown marks the moment model intelligence became dangerous. He predicts frontier models will be controlled like nuclear weapons within 2–3 generations, with most Fortune 500 companies locked out. Open-source can reach Fable-class but won’t blow past it due to compute walls and supply-chain lockdowns. The capability curve will appear flat to most people—not because progress stops, but because the smartest models will be kept out of public hands.

Why it matters: Steve Yegge's deep analysis of the Fable takedown argues the AI capability curve is about to be flattened by government regulation. Sharp thesis with concrete predictions, but it's commentary, not primary reporting — docked for lacking verifiable new facts.