Import AI 459: AI oversight is difficult; scaling laws for protein folding models; and pricing the extinction risk of AI systems

Import AI 459 summarizes papers on AI-economy measurement and AI oversight: one estimates U.S. nominal AI GDP at about $250 billion in 2025, with quality-adjusted real growth near 2,600% per year.

Why it matters: HKR-H/K/R all pass: the extinction-risk pricing hook is unusual, the summary gives $250B and 2600% as concrete figures, and oversight risk has practitioner resonance. It is still a secondary roundup, not a same-day must-write release.