Two Scenarios for Global AI Leadership in 2028

2028年全球AI领导地位的两种情景

Anthropic outlines two 2028 scenarios for US-China AI competition: if the US and allies expand their compute-chip advantage through export controls, theft prevention, and faster AI adoption, democratic states can maintain a 12-to-24-month technical lead.

Why it matters: Anthropic’s policy research has HKR-H/K/R: 2028 scenarios, a chip-advantage mechanism, and a 12–24 month lead claim. It is policy commentary rather than a model or product release, so it fits the 78–84 featured band.